- FTSE 100 index up 37 points
- IHS Markit/CIPS UK Construction Total Activity Index fell to 54.6 in August from 58.1 in July.
- BoE rate-setter warns more stimulus may be needed
11.25am: FTSE 100 adds to gains in late-morning
As the morning portion of Friday’s session entered its final hour, the FTSE 100 had steadily added to its gains from earlier in the day and was up 37 points at 5,888 at around 11.25am.
The rise comes in spite of a decline in UK construction in August to 54.6 from 58.1 in July amid a slowdown in new orders.
The fragility of the property and construction sectors was on display in the blue-chip fallers list, with Land Securities Group PLC (LON:LAND) down 1.7% at 549.8p in late-morning deals while British Land Company PLC (LON:BLND) fell 1.2% to 354.5p.
However, housebuilder Barratt Developments PLC (LON:BDEV) was at the bottom of the pile, down 2.2% at 527.4p after it and peers Persimmon PLC (LON:PSN) and Taylor Wimpey PLC (LON:TW.) were told by competition regulators that they could be forced to compensate customers after the watchdog found evidence of potential mis-selling of homes with leasehold contracts.
The market also continued to rise despite comments from Michael Saunders, a member of the Bank of England’s nine-member monetary policy committee, which sets interest rates, that more stimulus measures may be needed to boost UK growth and that the strength of the recovery from the pandemic may have been overestimated.
Saunders also added that unless activity and hours worked recovered quickly, unemployment was “likely to rise markedly” when workers were taken off the furlough scheme later this year.
10.10am: A setback for the construction sector’s recovery
The IHS Markit/CIPS UK Construction Total Activity Index fell to 54.6 in August from 58.1 in July.
A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in output.
IHS Markit, which compiles the survey, said respondents mostly suggested that a lack of new work to replace completed contracts had acted as a brake on the speed of expansion.
“The momentum in the sector’s recovery hit a bump in the road in August with a sudden slowdown in output growth and tender opportunities, while employment trends remained the most fragile in a decade,” said Duncan Brock, the group director at the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply (CIPS).
“This stalled progress was not a surprise given the warning signs last month that any hard-won progress could start to fizzle out. As new order gains slowed across all sectors, continuing COVID-19 anxiety amongst clients meant many projects still remained on ice; though residential building remained the strongest, it too was showing signs of strain,” he added.
Tim Moore, the economics director at IHS Markit, said the latest data signalled a setback for the UK construction sector.
“House building remained the best performing area of construction activity, with strong growth helping to offset some of the weakness seen in commercial work and civil engineering activity. The main reason for the slowdown in total construction output growth was a reduced degree of catch-up on delayed projects and subsequent shortages of new work to replace completed contracts in August,” he revealed.
“Another month of widespread job shedding highlighted the ongoing difficulties faced by UK construction companies, with order books often depleted due to a slump in demand from sectors of the economy that have experienced the greatest impact from the pandemic.
“More positively for the employment outlook, business expectations climbed to a six-month high in August as construction firms turned their hopes towards a boost from major infrastructure work and reorienting their sales focus on new areas of growth in the coming 12 months,” he added.
The FTSE 100 was up 26 points (0.4%) at 5,877.
9.35am: Blue-chips advance despite sterling’s rally
UK investors continue to behave in contrary fashion, with blue-chips on the up despite yesterday’s US sell-off and a strengthening pound.
The FTSE 100 is up 35 points (0.6%) at 5,886, even with the pound up by a fifth of a cent at US$1.3298.
“The tech-inspired sell-off in the States overnight was mainly the result of a bout of healthy profit-taking,” opined Richard Hunter at interactive investor.
“Some disappointment following the ADP report earlier in the week was compounded by an uncomfortably high jobless claims number, while the service sector rebound also slowed in August. Even so, the fact that there was no particular rush to haven assets suggests that some sort of rebalancing was overdue,” he continued.
“If the US economic recovery is running into some resistance, the non-farm payrolls figure later today should provide some further colour. The consensus is that some 1.3 million new jobs will be confirmed, as compared to the figure of 1.8 million reported for July, which itself was ahead of expectations. Should consensus not be met, it is likely that calls for further fiscal stimulus from the US government will intensify, although any such stimulus is now becoming politically charged as the Presidential election campaign gathers pace,” Hunter said.
One of the stocks still suffering collateral damage from the tech sell-off is Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLC (LON:SMT), which is heavily invested in many US tech titans (and still sitting on eye-popping profits even after yesterday’s correction). The shares were the worst performers on the Footsie, down 1.8% at 891.5p.
Three housebuilding companies have been sent to the naughty step by the Competition & Markets Authority for so-called “fleeceholding” practices but Berekely Group Holdings PLC (LON:BKG) is not one of them; its shares are up 1.2% at 4,706p after it reiterated its guidance for £500mln in pre-tax profit for the full year.
“Berkeley has continued the run of optimistic news from housebuilders. Pricing has remained robust, which lines up with just about every other piece of news we’ve had, although it’s particularly reassuring given Berkeley’s higher-end London properties. The question is what happens going forward, and Berkeley is confident on that score. While other builders are being more cautious Berkeley is giving full-year projections for both profits and dividends,” commented William Ryder at Hargreaves Lansdown.
“Berkeley offers something a bit different to the other housebuilders, which is reflected in management’s confidence and the group’s valuation. Assuming we can avoid further disruption or a sustained recession the group looks well placed going forwards,” he added.
This is a really big deal. REALLY big. For leaseholders, housebuilders… for the future of the industry and, quite simply, the way we build homes for people. As ever, expert analysis and explanation by @PeacheyK https://t.co/cn9JjLqzz3
— Dan Whitworth (@bbcdanw) September 4, 2020
8.40am: Positive end to week at open
Traders completely ignored the carnage overnight on the other side of the Atlantic with the FTSE 100 nudging modestly higher on Friday.
The UK blue-chip index rose 17 points to 5,867.86 early on.
The long-due correction on Wall Street wiped almost 600 points, or 6% off the tech-led Nasdaq Composite, while the Dow Jones Industrials Average tanked 800 points or 2.8%.
“Recently, the NASDAQ 100 has powered ahead as big-name companies like Apple, Netflix, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Tesla have been in extremely high demand,” said David Madden of CMC Markets.
“There has been talk of gross overvaluations for some time, and yesterday there was a big sell-off in the stocks. Panic selling set in and equities across the board suffered as a result.”
This followed the revelation that they could be forced to compensate customers by the UK competition watchdog after it found evidence of potential mis-selling of homes with leasehold contracts.
Barratt was the biggest loser as its shares fell 3.4%.
Aero-engineer Melrose (LON:MRO) continued its results-driven bounce to top the Footsie with a 2.2% gain, while jet engine maker Rolls Royce wasn’t too far behind with a 2.1% rise.
There were still bargain hunters in for ITV (LON:ITV) in spite of its impending exit from the blue-chip index. Shares in the broadcaster rose 1.5%.
Proactive news headlines:
Filta Group Holdings PLC (LON:FLTA) said it has secured exclusive rights to a new broad-spectrum disinfectant that can be deployed without the need to evacuate a room or to require extensive use of personal protective equipment helping in the fight against the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19). This makes it an ideal option for customers in a wide range of sectors from office blocks and schools through to commercial kitchens and restaurants, the company added. The group has been given access to hypochlorous acid-based product by NTH Solutions, the support services arm of North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust.
[email protected] Capital PLC (LON:SYME) said it has signed a formal business alliance with Epic SIM for inventory funding and client company origination. Epic is a fintech platform for working capital solutions, enabling small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to present their development projects, including an inventory monetisation service, to a selected audience of qualified investors. [email protected] said the alliance will create a new sales channel for the group, including client company origination, sourced as companies come to the Epic fintech platform, and inventory funding.
Scotgold Resources Limited (LON:SGZ) has said construction and development activities at the Cononish gold and silver project are progressing well, with the first gold pour from the Scottish mine expected before the end of November. The company said underground development at Cononish has benefited from the arrival on site of the previously announced standby ST2G scoop tram while the first of two new T1D drill rigs is currently in transit. Plant construction is now focused on the building structure, to be followed by the installation and connections of pumps, drives, piping and electrics and ultimately commissioning, the company said. Scotgold also revealed that it has beefed up its geoscience team with two appointments.
United Oil & Gas PLC (LON:UOG) has expanded its footprint in the North Sea, picking up two new licence blocks in the UK’s 32nd Licensing Round. The new acreage, Blocks 15/18e and 15/19c, contain three discoveries and the Dunvegan prospect. They are located adjacent to United’s existing acreage, and the Zeta prospect. Altogether the new acreage spans 225 square kilometres, in the vicinity of the substantial Piper, MacCulloch and Claymore oil fields. “We are delighted with these awards which, based on extensive technical work carried out over the available acreage ahead of the application, were our primary focus for the 32nd round,” Jonathan Leather, United O&G’s chief operating officer said in a statement.
World High Life PLC (LON:LIFE) has said that in accordance with its investment strategy and building on momentum from its Love Hemp subsidiary, it is now “actively considering” investment targets in the medicinal cannabis space. The company said potential targets include new technologies, pharmaceuticals, synthetic cannabinoids, cannabidiol (CBD) and hemp with potential for wide applications in multiple jurisdictions. Within this scope, World High Life said it intends to invest in and scale “innovative, early stage” uses of cannabinoids which have existing approvals in place to benefit patients and users.
Caledonia Mining Corporation PLC (LON:CMCL) has raised US$13mln via a share sale by Cantor Fitzgerald. Proceeds of the share sale are earmarked for investment in the construction of a solar power plant to supply electricity to the Blanket gold mine in Zimbabwe. The company said it had raised the funds via its “at the market” (ATM) equity sale agreement, issuing some 597.9mln shares. Caledonia plans to construct a solar plant to handle all of the Blanket mine’s baseload electricity demand during daylight hours and about 27% of Blanket’s total daily electricity demand.
Alien Metals Ltd (LON:UFO) is to raise £1.25mln by issuing shares at 0.55p each from a share placing and subscription with the proceeds earmarked for a range of exploration activities across the company’s portfolio in Mexico and Western Australia. Bill Brodie Good, the group’s new chief executive officer and technical director of Alien Metals, said the funds would, specifically, be used to fast-track activities at the high-grade Elizabeth Hill silver project, through a mixture of surface sampling and trenching programmes. “With the strengthened silver price and strong demand outlook, the company is well placed with a portfolio of high-grade projects that demand further exploration and development,” he added in a statement.
i3 Energy PLC (LON:I3E) announced that it has now completed the acquisition of all the petroleum and infrastructure assets of Gain Energy Ltd for C$$80 million (circa US$58.8 million). The company said it has also completed the sale of such petroleum and infrastructure assets held by Gain Energy Ltd which are located in Saskatchewan, to Harvard Resources Inc for C$$45 million (circa US$33 million).
Chaarat Gold Holdings Limited (LON:CGH), the AIM-quoted gold mining company with an operating mine in Armenia, and assets at various stages of development in the Kyrgyz Republic, has announced the appointment of Canaccord Genuity as its nominated adviser and corporate broker with immediate effect.
San Leon PLC (LON:SLE) has announced that its annual general meeting will be held on September 30, 2020, at 11.00am at 3300 Lake Drive, Citywest Business Campus, Dublin 24, D24 TD21, Ireland. In light of the ongoing public health advice in respect of the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, the Company requests all shareholders to submit their Form of Proxy and not attend the meeting in person.
Benchmark Holdings PLC (LON:BMK) said it has been informed that Trond Williksen, the group’s chief executive officer, purchased a total of 180,000 ordinary shares of 0.1 pence each in the company at a price of 46p per share on September 2 and 3, 2020. Following this purchase, Williksen’s total beneficial interest in the company is 180,000 ordinary shares, representing approximately 0.03% of the issued share capital.
6.50am: Quiet start predicted
Despite yesterday’s shake-out on Wall Street, UK equities are set for only modest falls on Friday as traders hold fire ahead of the US jobs release.
Spread betting quotes indicate the FTSE 100 will open around 30 points lower at 5,851.
UK traders will be like Janus, looking two ways at once – to yesterday’s massive sell-off in US stocks and this afternoon’s US non-farm payrolls for August.
“The US non-farm payrolls at 1.30pm (UK time) will be in focus. Economists are expecting that 1.4 million jobs were added in August, which would be a dip from the 1.76 million that were created in July. The unemployment rate is tipped to fall to 9.8% from 10.2%. Average wages on a yearly basis are anticipated to be 4.5%, down from 4.8%. A slide in wages would suggest that more lower-income workers have gone back to work,” said CMC’s David Madden.
“A strong jobs report would add weight to the argument the recovery continues. The latest manufacturing and services updates have been positive, broadly speaking. On the other side of the coin, a disappointing update could put pressure on the Republicans to reach a compromise with the Democrats with regards the stimulus package,” he added.
Yesterday’s carnage on Wall Street was “a well overdue thumping”, according to OANDA’s Jeffrey Halley.
“The technical expression is a downward correction in overbought stocks after an intense period of one-way price action higher. For the rest of us, the market was long and wrong, and now some of their P&L is gone,” said Mr ‘Hip-Hop’ Halley.
The Dow Jones Industrials Average slumped 808 points to 28,293 and the S&P 500 tumbled 126 points to 3,455 but it was the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite that saw the most profit-taking, shedding 598 points to 11,458.
Asian markets got the message on Friday morning with Japan’s Nikkei 225 off 295 points at 23,170 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index down 456 points at 24,551.
Gold bugs are sitting pretty but perhaps not as smugly as one might expect, with the yellow metal up US$4.60 to US$1,942.70 on futures exchanges.
On the corporate calendar in London Friday, there will be little for investors to focus on aside from a trading update from housebuilder Berkeley Group Holdings PLC (LON:BKG), which will likely be eyed in comparison to results from peer Barratt Developments PLC (LON:BDEV) which were delivered earlier this week.
Investors will want to know how higher-end London properties are doing since Berkeley has big exposure to the area, as well as how efficiently the group is managing to build while maintaining proper social distancing.
While house prices have been shown to be rising post-pandemic lockdown, the company could find itself exposed to further disruption from a second wave of coronavirus infections as well as a rise in unemployment and any Brexit fallout. As a result, shareholders may be looking for any info on how Berkeley is planning to weather any potential speed bumps ahead.
Around the markets:
- Sterling: US$1.3280, unchanged
- 10-year gilt: yielding 0.238%, up 4.4 basis points
- Gold: US$1,942.70 an ounce, up US$4.60
- Brent crude: US$43.67 a barrel, down 40 cents
- Bitcoin: US$10,293, down US$500
6.45am: Early Markets – Asia/Australia
Asia-Pacific stocks were lower on Friday following Wall Street’s sharp declines overnight.
Australia led losses among the major markets regionally, with the S&P/ASX 200 falling 3.08%.
Mainland Chinese stocks also fell by the afternoon with the Shanghai composite dropping 1.23%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index slipped 1.53%.
The Kospi in South Korea dropped 1.21% with Japan’s Nikkei 225 off 1.26%.
Proactive Australia news:
Proactive will shine the spotlight on a number of critical mineral companies that are pushing for a global cleaner energy future with a Critical Minerals Webinar next Tuesday, September 8.
Register here to attend.
Australia is a hothouse for growth companies with some of the country’s most innovative businesses going on to achieve major international success.
A showcase for the latest generation is provided by the ASX Small and Mid-Cap Conference (ASX Ltd – ASX:ASX), which this year is taking place virtually from September 8-10.
For more information on this unique event click here.
Oakdale Resources Ltd (ASX:OAR) (FRA:F1S) has started site preparation work for a fully-funded diamond drill program at Lambarson Canyon Gold Project in Nevada, with drilling of high-grade gold targets set to start next week.